Russia in 2020 : scenarios for the future / Maria Lipman, Nikolay Petrov, editors.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Russia in the world. Russia and the world / Thomas Graham ; Russia in world-systems perspective / Georgi Derluguian and Immanuel Wallerstein ; Russia's foreign policy outlook / Dmitri Trenin ; Russia's place in the world of unintended consequences, or Murphy's Law and order / Fyodor Lukyanov ; Russia and the new "transitional Europe" / Arkady Moshes ; The South Caucasus in 2020 / Tom de Waal -- Political economy and economics. The "third cycle": is Russia headed back to the future? / Kirill Rogov ; Russia's political economy: the next decade / Daniel Treisman ; The Russian economy through 2020: the challenge of managing rent addiction / Clifford Gaddy and Barry W. Ickles ; The Russian economy in limbo / Vladimir Milov -- Political system. Institution building and "institutional traps" in Russian politics / Vladimir Gelman ; Transition as a political institution: toward 2020 / Richard Sakwa ; Can the machine come to life?: prospects for Russia's party system in 2020 / Henry Hale ; Scenarios for the evolution of the Russian political party system / Boris Makarenko -- State. The excessive role of a weak Russian state / Nikolay Petrov ; Center-periphery relations / Robert Orttung ; The continuing revolution in Russian military affairs: toward 2020 / Pavel Baev ; The armed forces in 2020: modern or Soviet? / Alexander Golts -- Regions. Russia's regions and cities: scenarios for 2020 / Natalia Zubarevich ; Political systems in the Russian regions in 2020 / Aleksandr Kynev ; 2020: the last chance for the North Caucasus? / Aleksey Malashenko -- Society and civil society. Society, politics, and the search for community in Russia / Samuel Greene ; The inertia of passive adaptation / Lev Gudkov ; Between nomenklatura and elites / Nikolay Petrov ; The evolution of civic activeness / Jens Siegert -- Ideology and culture. Russia and the new "Russian world" / Igor Zevelev ; Runet space / Aleksey Sidorenko.

As Vladimir Putin prepares to return to the presidency in the 2012 elections, the prospects for Russia's future are unclear. Russia in 2020 brings together leading experts to analyze the possible scenarios for Russia's development in the next decade and the risks that lie ahead. Despite Putin's eminent return, the authors believe that the so-called Putin Era is over. This does not mean that Putin will soon give up power, but the political and economic system he created is incapable of dealing with Russia's rapidly changing conditions. Crises are likely unavoidable unless Russia changes and modernizes.