Silver, Nate,   1978- <br/><br/>
The signal and the noise :   the art and science of prediction / 
Nate Silver. 
 - London :   Penguin books,   2013. 
 - 534 pages :  illustrations. ;   21 cm.  
<br/><br/>A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you. 
<br/><br/> Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction. 
<br/><br/><label>ISBN: </label>9780141975658 0141975652 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>Pronósticos<br/>Predicciones<br/>Teoría bayesiana de decisiones estadísticas <br/>Conocimiento, Teoria del
<br/><br/><label>LC Class. No.: </label>CB 158  / S587s 2013