Fisher, Len. <br/><br/>
Crashes, crises, and calamities :  how we can use science to read the early-warning signs / 
Len Fisher. 
 - New York :  Basic Books,  c2011. 
 - xviii, 233 p. :  ill. ;  22 cm. 
<br/><br/>Incluye referencias bibliográficas e índice. 
<br/><br/>Pt. 1. A potted pre-history of prognostication. Do animals have crystal balls? -- The future eclipsed -- Galileo's hell -- Pt. 2. How disasters happen. The stress of it all -- Runaway disaster -- The balance of nature and the nature of balance -- Pt. 3. Imminent catastrophes : reading the signs. The chaotic ecology of dragons -- Teetering on the brink of catastrophe -- Models and supermodels -- Beware of mathematicians -- Weak signals as major early-warning signs -- Summary : The future of forecasting. 
<br/><br/> Drawing on ecology and biology, math and physics, the author offers four fundamental tools that scientists and engineers use to forecast the likelihood of sudden change: stability, catastrophe, complexity, and game theories. 
<br/><br/><label>ISBN: </label>9780465021024 (hardback) 0465021026 (hardback) 9780465023356 (ebook) 
<br/><br/><label>LCCN: </label>2010048289 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>Primera Jornada de Catalogacion.<br/>Accidentes--Prevención.<br/>Accidents--Prevention.<br/>Natural disasters--Forecasting.<br/>Science--History.<br/>Science--Social aspects.<br/>Scientists.
<br/><br/><label>LC Class. No.: </label>HV 675  / F533c 2011 
<br/><br/><label>Dewey Class. No.: </label>363.3463