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| 008 | 190219s2019 ctua b 001 0 eng d | ||
| 010 | _a 2019934600 | ||
| 015 |
_aGBB992488 _2bnb |
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| 016 | 7 |
_a019410732 _2Uk |
|
| 020 | _a0300244665 (paperback) | ||
| 020 | _a9780300244663 (paperback) | ||
| 035 | _a(OCoLC)on1055260945 | ||
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_aYDX _beng _cYDX _erda _dBDX _dOCLCQ _dFM0 _dOCLCO _dCHVBK _dYUS _dSINLB _dUKMGB _dOCLCF _dOCLCO _dHRM _dUKOBU _dVP@ _dDLC |
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| 041 | _aeng | ||
| 042 | _alccopycat | ||
| 050 | 1 | 4 |
_aHB 3730 _bC353f 2019 |
| 082 | 0 | 0 | _a330.01/12 |
| 100 | 1 |
_aCastle, Jennifer L. _927705 |
|
| 245 | 1 | 0 |
_aForecasting : _ban essential introduction / _cJennifer L. Castle, Michael P. Clements, David F. Hendry. |
| 264 | 1 |
_aNew Haven ; _aLondon : _bYale University Press, _c2019. |
|
| 300 |
_axiv, 213 pages : _billustrations ; _c22 cm |
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| 336 |
_atext _btxt _2rdacontent |
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| 337 |
_aunmediated _bn _2rdamedia |
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| 338 |
_avolume _bnc _2rdacarrier |
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| 504 | _aIncludes bibliographical references and index. | ||
| 505 | 0 | _aWhy do we need forecasts? -- How do we make forecasts? -- Where are we before we forecast? -- How do we judge forecasts? -- How uncertain are our forecasts? -- Are some real world events unpredictable? -- Why do systematic forecast failures occur? -- Can we avoid systematic forecast failures? -- How do we automatically detect breaks? -- Can we forecast breaks before they hit? -- Can we improve forecasts during breaks? -- Would more information be useful? -- Can econometrics improve forecasting? -- Can you trust economic forecasts? | |
| 520 | _aMaking accurate predictions about the economy has always been difficult, but today forecasters have to contend with increasing complexity and unpredictable feedback loops. This introduction provides an accessible overview of the processes and difficulties of forecasting. For students, for practitioners new to the field, and for general readers interested in how economists forecast. | ||
| 650 | 0 | _aEconomic forecasting. | |
| 650 | 4 |
_aPrevisión económica _99774 |
|
| 700 | 1 |
_aClements, Michael P. _927706 |
|
| 700 | 1 |
_aHendry, David F. _q(David Forbes), _927707 _d1944- |
|
| 906 |
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